Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.413374 0.486993 0.568065 0.663715 0.773209 0.894361 1.038275
2024-10-20 0.293473 0.388561 0.503992 0.653311 0.840107 1.064723 1.353758
2024-10-27 0.219530 0.321990 0.457291 0.646450 0.901040 1.228408 1.677154
2024-11-03 0.176120 0.282567 0.433747 0.659490 0.982358 1.420881 2.053315
2024-11-10 0.143473 0.249843 0.411165 0.666529 1.051638 1.599864 2.425281
2024-11-17 0.118147 0.222084 0.389557 0.669086 1.111096 1.766975 2.792271
2024-11-24 0.100158 0.202075 0.375663 0.679599 1.180928 1.952502 3.198807
2024-12-01 0.084543 0.182673 0.358937 0.681847 1.235906 2.117917 3.586003
2024-12-08 0.068329 0.158506 0.329564 0.657624 1.243172 2.206998 3.859221
2024-12-15 0.061072 0.150411 0.327769 0.681000 1.332092 2.433146 4.365730
2024-12-22 0.054174 0.141546 0.322898 0.697533 1.409721 2.645443 4.863369
2024-12-29 0.050806 0.139752 0.331601 0.740496 1.538392 2.953065 5.540009
2025-01-05 0.043148 0.126563 0.315246 0.733083 1.574727 3.106359 5.970551
2025-01-12 0.036517 0.114318 0.298901 0.723477 1.605790 3.252731 6.400030
2025-01-19 0.031141 0.103945 0.284895 0.716641 1.640993 3.408465 6.855804
2025-01-26 0.027814 0.098340 0.281023 0.731174 1.720309 3.651520 7.485091
2025-02-02 0.024572 0.092133 0.274604 0.738982 1.786078 3.873003 8.087926
2025-02-09 0.021539 0.085732 0.266561 0.741819 1.841204 4.077195 8.670262
2025-02-16 0.019268 0.081140 0.262431 0.753343 1.915964 4.324795 9.349712
2025-02-23 0.016947 0.075706 0.255048 0.755810 1.970563 4.535154 9.968854
2025-03-02 0.014015 0.067137 0.237213 0.729294 1.956392 4.603298 10.311511
2025-03-09 0.013005 0.065489 0.239299 0.754886 2.065545 4.935052 11.199256
2025-03-16 0.011886 0.063068 0.238628 0.772980 2.158374 5.237892 12.044461